Right, I have my crystal ball out now.
If there isn't a Two barred Crossbill in Northumberland as I write this, I'll put my arse in Fenwicks window...
That's technical term that clairvoyants use. They're rough.
Irony is, there are usually Crossbills around our place at this time, but this year? Not a clip-clip-chip to be heard...yet.